Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Buenos Aires (Argentina), clay - Final

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Romania	Digi Sport 3


	Francisco Cerundolo		Joao Fonseca

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.66	2.36
			Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.91)	2.28 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
57.8%

Joao Fonseca
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francisco Cerundolo's performance.

Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joao Fonseca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francisco Cerundolo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joao Fonseca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	0%	41.2%

Francisco Cerundolo - Joao Fonseca Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 19 - 59.4%). Fonseca will win (votes: 13 - 40.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 42.4% – 76.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Siniakova is ranked WTA: 53. Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 21.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Siniakova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kostyuk will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Buenos Aires
15.02.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Alexander Zverev - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
12.02.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Luciano Darderi - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
17.01.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alex De Minaur	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWL
- Joao Fonseca
ATP Buenos Aires
15.02.25	Laslo Djere - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
14.02.25	Joao Fonseca - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
13.02.25	Joao Fonseca - Federico Coria	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
02.02.25	Arthur Fils - Joao Fonseca	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWW?

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