Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday


	Kamil Majchrzak		Elmer Moller

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.25
	1.59	2.22	Watch
	1.63	2.31
	1.69	2.12
	1.62	2.2
	1.62	2.21	Watch
	1.59	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 (1.62)	2.22 ↓ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kamil Majchrzak
57.8%

Elmer Moller
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kamil Majchrzak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kamil Majchrzak than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	5%	10%

Kamil Majchrzak - Elmer Moller Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3 Games - Moller (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kamil Majchrzak will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kamil Majchrzak will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Majchrzak (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Moller (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Majchrzak is ranked ATP: 90. Moller is ranked ATP: 114.

Majchrzak in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Moller is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Majchrzak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Majchrzak to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kamil Majchrzak
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Darwin Blanch	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.04.25	Marin Cilic - Kamil Majchrzak	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Norbert Gombos - Kamil Majchrzak	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Kamil Majchrzak	1:2 ✺
10.04.25	Carlos Taberner - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW
- Elmer Moller
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Elmer Moller - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.04.25	Francisco Comesana - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Elmer Moller - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Remy Bertola - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Elmer Moller	Moller E. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWW?

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