Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Final

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday


	Marin Cilic		Kamil Majchrzak

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.87	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.86	1.93	Watch
			Watch
	1.84	1.88	Watch
	1.8	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.91)	1.9 ↑ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marin Cilic
50.9%

Kamil Majchrzak
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Kamil Majchrzak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kamil Majchrzak than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Marin Cilic - Kamil Majchrzak Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cilic will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Majchrzak will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cilic: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marin Cilic will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cilic is ranked ATP: 117. Majchrzak is ranked ATP: 102.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Cilic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cilic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Last Results with these Odds

Kamil Majchrzak - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.35%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP Challenger
12.04.25	Valentin Royer - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
11.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
10.04.25	Marco Trungelliti - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
08.04.25	Ignacio Buse - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
02.04.25	Ignacio Buse - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWL
- Kamil Majchrzak
ATP Challenger
12.04.25	Norbert Gombos - Kamil Majchrzak	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Kamil Majchrzak	1:2 ✺
10.04.25	Carlos Taberner - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
05.04.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Kamil Majchrzak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cup
05.01.20	Marin Cilic - Kamil Majchrzak	Canceled

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