Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/32-finals

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Gabriel Diallo		Lorenzo Sonego

	1	2
	1.80	2.00	Watch
	1.90	1.90
	1.85	1.96
	1.93	1.98
	1.89	1.91	Watch
	1.90	1.96
	1.82	2.02	Watch
	1.85	2.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.03)	1.97 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 41.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriel Diallo
51.3%

Lorenzo Sonego
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.8%	0%	65.2%

Gabriel Diallo - Lorenzo Sonego Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Diallo will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). Sonego will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sonego: 45.7% – 84.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Diallo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sonego (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

Diallo is ranked ATP: 88. Sonego is ranked ATP: 69.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Diallo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Diallo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Sonego - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 51.79%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Gabriel Diallo	Bonzi B. Retired ✺
ATP Eastbourne
25.06.26	Jack Draper - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Gabriel Diallo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
22.06.26	Gabriel Diallo - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
ATP London
16.06.26	Alex De Minaur - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 ?LWWL
- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	3:1 ✺
ATP Mallorca
23.06.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Miomir Kecmanovic	1:2 ✺
21.06.26	Mariano Navone - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
ATP Halle
17.06.26	Ben Shelton - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Auckland
06.01.25	Gabriel Diallo - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2

Gabriel Diallo - Lorenzo Sonego: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide