Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: London, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday


	Alex De Minaur		Gabriel Diallo

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.18	4.75
	1.18	4.4
	1.2	5.2
	1.18	4.7	Watch
	1.14	5.5	Watch
	1.21	4.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↑ (1.17)	4.8 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
80.2%

Gabriel Diallo
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Alex De Minaur - Gabriel Diallo Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Diallo will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diallo: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22 Games - over (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4 Games - Diallo (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 1 - 50%). Diallo (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

De Minaur is ranked ATP: 6. Diallo is ranked ATP: 54.

De Minaur is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Diallo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, De Minaur is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, De Minaur won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP Hertogenbosch
14.06.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Adrian Mannarino - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
12.06.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	Martin Damm - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.26	Alex De Minaur - Jakub Mensik	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWWL
- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Hertogenbosch
09.06.26	Gabriel Diallo - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.26	James Duckworth - Gabriel Diallo	Diallo G. Retired ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Elmer Moller - Gabriel Diallo	Diallo G. Retired ✺
ATP Munich
16.04.26	Alexander Zverev - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Gabriel Diallo - Vitaliy Sachko	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 L??L?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
29.10.25	Gabriel Diallo - Alex De Minaur	1:2
ATP Toronto
09.08.23	Gabriel Diallo - Alex De Minaur	0:2

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