Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Gabriel Diallo		Felix Aliassime-Auger

	1	2
	4.33	1.22	Watch
	4.2	1.23	Watch
	4.35	1.26
	4.27	1.22	Watch
	4	1.25	Watch
	4.3	1.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.24 ↑ (3.75)	1.24 ↓ (1.29)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriel Diallo
22.6%

Felix Aliassime-Auger
77.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

74.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriel Diallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Gabriel Diallo - Felix Aliassime Auger Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aliassime-Auger (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Diallo is ranked ATP: 38. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 9.

Diallo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aliassime-Auger is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Diallo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Aliassime-Auger is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Diallo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Felix Aliassime-Auger - the odds 1.29 are the expected chance of winning is 74.4%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Andrey Rublev - Gabriel Diallo	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Mattia Bellucci - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
17.02.26	Adam Walton - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Eliot Spizzirri - Gabriel Diallo	Canceled ✺
ATP Dallas
10.02.26	Gabriel Diallo - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWL?L
- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.26	Gael Monfils - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
27.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Basel
22.10.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Gabriel Diallo	2:0

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