Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna (Austria), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday


	Gael Monfils		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.19	1.66
	2.35	1.67
	2.22	1.63
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.19	1.69	Watch
	2.19	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.15)	1.67 ↓ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gael Monfils
43%

Lorenzo Musetti
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gael Monfils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gael Monfils, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Musetti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Gael Monfils - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Monfils will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Musetti will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Monfils is ranked ATP: 52. Musetti is ranked ATP: 17.

Monfils is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Musetti is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Monfils won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gael Monfils
ATP Vienna
22.10.24	Quentin Halys - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
09.10.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
08.10.24	Gael Monfils - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
04.10.24	Sebastian Baez - Gael Monfils	1:2 ✺
02.10.24	Gael Monfils - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWW
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Vienna
22.10.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
07.10.24	Lorenzo Musetti - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Zizou Bergs - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
24.09.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Gael Monfils	2:0
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.24	Gael Monfils - Lorenzo Musetti	0:3
ATP Vienna
27.10.21	Gael Monfils - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0

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