The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sebastian Baez 29%
Gael Monfils 71%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.6%
64.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.9%
64.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Baez's form might have worsened.
Gael Monfils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gael Monfils's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Baez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gael Monfils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.7%
0%
92.3%
Sebastian Baez - Gael Monfils Predictions
Users Predictions:
Gael Monfils will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Baez is ranked ATP: 25.Monfils is ranked ATP: 46.
One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Monfils is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Baez won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3