Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Mallorca (Spain), grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 June 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Allensworth G. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Finland	MTV Urheilu 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2, SportKlub 3, SportKlub 4
Sweden	TV4 Tennis


	Gael Monfils		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.3	3.3	Watch
	1.34	3.52
	1.35	3.52
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.33	3.38	Watch
	1.31	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.53)	3.37 ↑ (2.46)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gael Monfils
71.7%

Roberto Carballes Baena
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gael Monfils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gael Monfils's performance.

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roberto Carballes Baena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gael Monfils that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roberto Carballes Baena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.2%	0%	4.8%

Gael Monfils - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: Gael Monfils will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Monfils could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Monfils is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Monfils won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gael Monfils
ATP Mallorca
24.06.24	Gael Monfils - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
Exhibition Champions Battle Tennis Men
11.06.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.24	Gael Monfils - Lorenzo Musetti	0:3 ✺
27.05.24	Gael Monfils - Thiago Seyboth Wild	3:1 ✺
ATP Lyon
21.05.24	Gael Monfils - Yoshihito Nishioka	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLW?
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Mallorca
23.06.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
10.06.24	Jakub Mensik - Roberto Carballes Baena	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.24	Novak Djokovic - Roberto Carballes Baena	3:0 ✺
28.05.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Constant Lestienne	3:1 ✺
ATP Geneva
22.05.24	Sebastian Baez - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 W?LWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Belgrade 2
26.05.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Gael Monfils	2:1

Gael Monfils - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide