Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday


	Stefan Kozlov		Mikhail Kukushkin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.88	1.83	Watch
	1.95	1.76	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.86	1.82	Watch
	2.05	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.49)	1.78 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefan Kozlov
48%

Mikhail Kukushkin
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefan Kozlov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefan Kozlov's performance.

Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mikhail Kukushkin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefan Kozlov than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefan Kozlov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mikhail Kukushkin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Stefan Kozlov - Mikhail Kukushkin Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kozlov will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Kukushkin will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Kozlov (votes: 2 - 50%). Kukushkin (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kozlov is ranked ATP: 280. Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 293.

Kozlov has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kukushkin is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kozlov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Kukushkin will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefan Kozlov
ATP Challenger
18.01.26	Stefan Kozlov - Robert Strombachs	Strombachs R. retired ✺
13.01.26	Harry Wendelken - Stefan Kozlov	2:1 ✺
08.01.26	Stefan Kozlov - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Stefan Kozlov - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Stefan Kozlov - Tyler Zink	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 ?LLWW
- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
18.01.26	Rudolf Molleker - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Clement Chidekh	Kukushkin M. retired ✺
16.01.26	Hynek Barton - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
15.01.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Remy Bertola - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 W?WWW

Stefan Kozlov - Mikhail Kukushkin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide