Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday


	Gauthier Onclin		Ilia Simakin

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.98	1.75
	2.07	1.67	Watch
	2.04	1.79
	2.07	1.70	Watch
	2.06	1.7	Watch
	2.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.85)	1.69 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gauthier Onclin
44.9%

Ilia Simakin
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gauthier Onclin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gauthier Onclin - Ilia Simakin Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 Games - Simakin (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Simakin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Onclin is ranked ATP: 213. Simakin is ranked ATP: 236.

Onclin is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Simakin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Simakin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Simakin could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Ilia Simakin - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.23%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gauthier Onclin
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Gauthier Onclin	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.08.25	Gauthier Onclin - Dino Prizmic	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	Mathys Erhard - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Aristotelis Thanos - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Ilia Simakin - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
29.08.25	Ilia Simakin - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
28.08.25	Ilia Simakin - Joshua Charlton	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Ilia Simakin - Tung-Lin Wu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWW

Gauthier Onclin - Ilia Simakin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide