Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday


	Ilia Simakin		Yasutaka Uchiyama

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.08	Watch
	1.69	2.21
	4.38	1.19	Watch
			Watch
	1.68	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.84)	1.97 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilia Simakin
48.1%

Yasutaka Uchiyama
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Yasutaka Uchiyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yasutaka Uchiyama than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Ilia Simakin - Yasutaka Uchiyama Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Simakin will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Uchiyama will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uchiyama (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Uchiyama (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Simakin (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Simakin (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Uchiyama (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Simakin is ranked ATP: 236. Uchiyama is ranked ATP: 225.

Simakin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Uchiyama is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Simakin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Simakin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Ilia Simakin - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Yasutaka Uchiyama - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
29.08.25	Ilia Simakin - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
28.08.25	Ilia Simakin - Joshua Charlton	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Ilia Simakin - Tung-Lin Wu	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.07.25	Ilia Simakin - Adria Soriano Barrera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWL
- Yasutaka Uchiyama
ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Tsung-Hao Huang	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Yuta Kikuchi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Ilia Simakin	0:2

Ilia Simakin - Yasutaka Uchiyama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide