Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 12, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santa Margherita di Pula 12 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Giovanni Oradini		Gianluca Cadenasso

	1	2
			Watch
	2.76	1.4
	2.90	1.35	Watch
	3.1	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.5)	1.36 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Oradini
31.8%

Gianluca Cadenasso
68.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Oradini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giovanni Oradini's form might have worsened.

Gianluca Cadenasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gianluca Cadenasso's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Oradini than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Giovanni Oradini - Gianluca Cadenasso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Oradini is ranked ATP: 583. Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 507.

Recent performances by Oradini have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cadenasso is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Oradini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cadenasso is the team to beat.

We predict that Cadenasso will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Oradini won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Oradini
ITF Tournaments
14.10.25	Giovanni Oradini - Luca Potenza	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Giovanni Oradini - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Alexey Shtengelov - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Giovanni Oradini - Alexander Weis	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Oleksii Krutykh - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLW
- Gianluca Cadenasso
ITF Tournaments
18.10.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Martin Krumich	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Sebastian Sorger	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Gianmarco Ferrari - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Felix Gill - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Gabriele Crivellaro - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Giovanni Oradini - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2
01.09.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Giovanni Oradini	2:1
04.09.23	Giovanni Oradini - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Oradini
ITF Tournaments
30.10.26	Manuel Plunger - Giovanni Oradini	✺

Giovanni Oradini - Gianluca Cadenasso