Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 12, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	Ivan Gakhov		Gianluca Cadenasso

	1	2
	2.17	1.60	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.83)	1.72 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ivan Gakhov
46.2%

Gianluca Cadenasso
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ivan Gakhov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Gianluca Cadenasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ivan Gakhov than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

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Preview

Gakhov is ranked ATP: 272. Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 507.

Recent performances by Gakhov have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cadenasso is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gakhov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Cadenasso will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gakhov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Ivan Gakhov - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Gianluca Cadenasso - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ivan Gakhov
ITF Tournaments
24.10.25	Ivan Gakhov - Manuel Mazza	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Ivan Gakhov - Mattias Pisanu	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Ivan Gakhov - Gabriele Pennaforti	Canceled ✺
14.10.25	Ivan Gakhov - Stefan Popovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Jan Choinski - Ivan Gakhov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WW?LL
- Gianluca Cadenasso
ITF Tournaments
24.10.25	Sebastian Sorger - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
22.10.25	Giovanni Oradini - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Martin Krumich	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Sebastian Sorger	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Gianmarco Ferrari - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW

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