Match Info

Date: 10 May 2021, Monday


	Gianluca Mager		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	2.62	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.43	1.56	Watch
	2.46	1.51
	2.58	1.57
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.58	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.52)	1.52 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianluca Mager
37.5%

Alex De Minaur
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianluca Mager has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Gianluca Mager - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Mager will win (votes: 36 - 60%). De Minaur will win (votes: 24 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mager: 47.6% – 72.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Mager could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

De Minaur will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Mager
ATP Madrid
02.05.21	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
01.05.21	Gianluca Mager - Egor Gerasimov	2:0 ✺
ATP Belgrade
23.04.21	Aslan Karatsev - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
22.04.21	Alexei Popyrin - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
20.04.21	Gianluca Mager - Laslo Djere	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWLWW
- Alex De Minaur
ATP Madrid
06.05.21	Dominic Thiem - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
04.05.21	Alex De Minaur - Lloyd George Harris	De Minaur A. retired ✺
02.05.21	Alex De Minaur - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
22.04.21	Alex De Minaur - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
21.04.21	Alex De Minaur - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 L?WLW

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