Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday


	Marco Trungelliti		Pol Martin Tiffon

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.47	2.49
	1.5	2.72
	1.43	2.61	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.35	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.53)	2.56 ↑ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
63.7%

Pol Martin Tiffon
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Pol Martin Tiffon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marco Trungelliti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pol Martin Tiffon than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pol Martin Tiffon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Marco Trungelliti - Pol Martin Tiffon Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Martin Tiffon will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Trungelliti (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 132. Martin Tiffon is ranked ATP: 254.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Trungelliti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Trungelliti is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Trungelliti won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Marco Trungelliti - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 60.77%, but this team recently wins 79% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
05.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Florent Bax	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Garrett Johns	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
21.02.26	Marco Trungelliti - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
ATP Doha
14.02.26	Marco Trungelliti - Billy Harris	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWWLL
- Pol Martin Tiffon
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Luka Pavlovic - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Lloyd Harris - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Marco Trungelliti - Pol Martin Tiffon	Martin Tiffon P. retired
ITF Tournaments
10.12.23	Marco Trungelliti - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0
22.11.20	Marco Trungelliti - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2

Marco Trungelliti - Pol Martin Tiffon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide