Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Auckland, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.26	1.62	Watch
	1.88	1.88	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	1.92	1.92	Watch
	1.7	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.35)	1.8 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
46.8%

Jakub Mensik
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

67.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard's performance.

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jakub Mensik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jakub Mensik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Jakub Mensik Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mpetshi Perricard will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Mensik will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mpetshi Perricard: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Mpetshi Perricard (votes: 2 - 50%). Mensik (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 63. Mensik is ranked ATP: 18.

Mpetshi Perricard is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mensik's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mpetshi Perricard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mensik might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mpetshi Perricard won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Auckland
13.01.26	Cameron Norrie - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
08.01.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:1 ✺
07.01.26	Rinky Hijikata - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
05.01.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLWW
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Auckland
14.01.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
ATP United Cup
08.01.26	Zizou Bergs - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Alex De Minaur - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Jakub Mensik - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
27.12.25	Jack Draper - Jakub Mensik	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Brisbane
03.01.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Jakub Mensik	2:0
ATP Challenger
19.06.23	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Jakub Mensik	2:1

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