Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Brisbane, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday


	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.4	1.56
	2.45	1.47	Watch
	2.55	1.49	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.74	1.48	Watch
	2.65	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.89)	1.48 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
36.4%

Tommy Paul
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Tommy Paul Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Mpetshi Perricard (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Paul (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 23 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 58. Paul is ranked ATP: 20.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Tommy Paul - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 67.25%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Metz
03.11.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
03.11.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Tomas Machac	Canceled ✺
ATP Paris
27.10.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
ATP Basel
21.10.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
ATP Brussels
18.10.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 L?LLL
- Tommy Paul
ATP US Open
30.08.25	Alexander Bublik - Tommy Paul	3:2 ✺
28.08.25	Nuno Borges - Tommy Paul	2:3 ✺
26.08.25	Elmer Moller - Tommy Paul	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.25	Adrian Mannarino - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLW

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