Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Gonzalo Bueno		Florent Bax

	1	2
	1.73	2
	1.73	2
	1.83	2.04
	1.74	2.04	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.78	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.62)	2.02 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gonzalo Bueno
53.5%

Florent Bax
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Bueno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Florent Bax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gonzalo Bueno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Florent Bax than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Florent Bax, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Gonzalo Bueno - Florent Bax Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bueno will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Bax will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bax: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bueno is ranked ATP: 184. Bax is ranked ATP: 254.

Bueno has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bax is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bueno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bueno might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
16.04.26	Matias Soto - Gonzalo Bueno	Bueno G. Retired ✺
15.04.26	Federico Coria - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Lautaro Midon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 ?WWLW
- Florent Bax
ATP Challenger
10.05.26	Florent Bax - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Florent Bax - Franco Ribero	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Florent Bax - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Florent Bax - Younes Lalami Laaroussi	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Florent Bax - Adrian Arcon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWW

Gonzalo Bueno - Florent Bax: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide