Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 July 2026, Tuesday


	Maxim Mrva		Gonzalo Villanueva

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.7	Watch
	1.42	2.80	Watch
	1.42	2.95
	1.35	2.92	Watch
	1.40	2.90	Watch
	1.39	2.77	Watch
	1.41	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.36)	2.82 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxim Mrva
66.8%

Gonzalo Villanueva
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxim Mrva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Gonzalo Villanueva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maxim Mrva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Villanueva than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gonzalo Villanueva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Maxim Mrva - Gonzalo Villanueva Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mrva will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Villanueva will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mrva is ranked ATP: 295. Villanueva is ranked ATP: 355.

Mrva has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Villanueva is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mrva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mrva is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Gonzalo Villanueva - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.51%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxim Mrva
ATP Challenger
22.06.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Maxim Mrva	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Gustavo Heide - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Maxim Mrva - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Maxim Mrva - Jan Sadzik	2:0 ✺
12.06.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWWL
- Gonzalo Villanueva
ATP Challenger
06.07.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Lorenzo Bocchi	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Jozef Kovalik	2:1 ✺
28.06.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
27.06.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Gonzalo Villanueva	1:2 ✺
26.06.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWW

Maxim Mrva - Gonzalo Villanueva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide