Match Info

Date: 8 May 2022, Sunday


	Gregoire Barrere		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	2.1	1.66	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.32	1.58
	2.13	1.61
	2.27	1.66
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.22	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.29)	1.64 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gregoire Barrere
43%

Pavel Kotov
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gregoire Barrere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gregoire Barrere than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	0%	53.3%

Gregoire Barrere - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Barrere will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Kotov will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Barrere is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kotov is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Barrere could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kotov will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Kotov to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gregoire Barrere
ATP Challenger
06.05.22	Gregoire Barrere - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
04.05.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gregoire Barrere	1:2 ✺
02.05.22	Gregoire Barrere - Jo-Wilfried Tsonga	2:1 ✺
26.04.22	Lorenzo Giustino - Gregoire Barrere	2:1 ✺
18.04.22	Christopher OConnell - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWLL
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
06.05.22	Pavel Kotov - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
06.05.22	Pablo Cuevas - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
03.05.22	Pavel Kotov - Constant Lestienne	2:1 ✺
14.04.22	Roberto Carballes Baena - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
11.04.22	Gian Marco Moroni - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWLW

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