Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Noumea, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Gustavo Heide		Liam Draxl

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.93	1.78	Watch
	2.58	1.45	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.92	1.77	Watch
	1.96	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.25)	1.73 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gustavo Heide
45.9%

Liam Draxl
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gustavo Heide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Liam Draxl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Gustavo Heide - Liam Draxl Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Heide (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 Games - Draxl (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Heide (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Draxl (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Heide is ranked ATP: 241. Draxl is ranked ATP: 133.

Heide has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Draxl might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Liam Draxl - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.9%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gustavo Heide
ATP Challenger
23.11.25	Gustavo Heide - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Gustavo Heide - Nicolas Kicker	Kicker N. retired ✺
20.11.25	Mateus Alves - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Gustavo Heide - Leonardo Storck Franca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WW?WW
- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
14.11.25	Liam Draxl - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
13.11.25	Liam Draxl - Tristan McCormick	2:1 ✺
12.11.25	Liam Draxl - Mikael Arseneault	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Dhakshineswar Suresh - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Liam Draxl - Andres Martin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWWLL

Gustavo Heide - Liam Draxl: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide