Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TEMUCO (CHILE), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 30 November 2023, Thursday


	Gustavo Heide		Valentin Vacherot

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	1.84	2
	1.84	2
	1.8	1.91
	1.8	1.93	Watch
	1.8	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.56)	1.95 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gustavo Heide
51.9%

Valentin Vacherot
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gustavo Heide has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gustavo Heide's form might have worsened.

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valentin Vacherot's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gustavo Heide, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valentin Vacherot, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Gustavo Heide - Valentin Vacherot Predictions

Users Predictions: Gustavo Heide will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Vacherot could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gustavo Heide
ATP Challenger
28.11.23	Gustavo Heide - Juan Pablo Paz	2:0 ✺
23.11.23	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
22.11.23	Gustavo Heide - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
18.11.23	Gustavo Heide - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
17.11.23	Gustavo Heide - Facundo Bagnis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLW
- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Challenger
28.11.23	Mariano Kestelboim - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
23.11.23	Valentin Vacherot - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
21.11.23	Valentin Vacherot - Blaise Bicknell	2:0 ✺
13.11.23	Valentin Vacherot - Pedro Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
12.11.23	Valentin Vacherot - Valentino Aliano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW

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