Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Hong Kong (Hong Kong), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday


	Hailey Baptiste		Varvara Gracheva

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.46	2.77
	1.47	2.69	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.42	2.73	Watch
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.58)	2.68 ↑ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hailey Baptiste
65.1%

Varvara Gracheva
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hailey Baptiste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hailey Baptiste's performance.

Varvara Gracheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varvara Gracheva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hailey Baptiste than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hailey Baptiste that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varvara Gracheva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hailey Baptiste - Varvara Gracheva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Baptiste is ranked WTA: 111. Gracheva is ranked WTA: 62.

Baptiste is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gracheva is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Baptiste could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Baptiste will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Baptiste won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hailey Baptiste
WTA Hong Kong
01.10.24	Sara Sorribes Tormo - Hailey Baptiste	0:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
27.09.24	Hailey Baptiste - Anna Kalinskaya	1:2 ✺
25.09.24	Varvara Gracheva - Hailey Baptiste	0:2 ✺
24.09.24	Hailey Baptiste - Priscilla Hon	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Hailey Baptiste - Ruien Zhang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWW
- Varvara Gracheva
ATP Challenger
01.10.24	Yexin Ma - Varvara Gracheva	1:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
25.09.24	Varvara Gracheva - Hailey Baptiste	0:2 ✺
WTA Hua Hin 2
19.09.24	Varvara Gracheva - Jana Fett	Fett J. walkover ✺
16.09.24	Varvara Gracheva - Taylah Preston	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
26.08.24	Varvara Gracheva - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WL?WL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Beijing
25.09.24	Varvara Gracheva - Hailey Baptiste	0:2

Hailey Baptiste - Varvara Gracheva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide