Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Hamad Medjedovic		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.54	2.54
	1.48	2.49	Watch
	1.48	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.59)	2.53 ↑ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamad Medjedovic
62.7%

Jacob Fearnley
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamad Medjedovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamad Medjedovic than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamad Medjedovic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jacob Fearnley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hamad Medjedovic - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Fearnley (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 Games - Medjedovic (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hamad Medjedovic will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hamad Medjedovic will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Medjedovic (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Fearnley (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Medjedovic is ranked ATP: 64. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 81.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Fearnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Medjedovic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Medjedovic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamad Medjedovic
ATP Vienna
18.10.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
ATP Almaty
14.10.25	Brandon Nakashima - Hamad Medjedovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Hamad Medjedovic	Medjedovic H. retired ✺
ATP Tokyo
25.09.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Ergi Kirkin	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WL?L?
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Vienna
18.10.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
16.10.25	Jacob Fearnley - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Jacob Fearnley - Dominic Stephan Stricker	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Jacob Fearnley - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Jacob Fearnley	2:0

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