Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Dalibor Svrcina		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.66
	3.26	1.34	Watch
	2.21	1.63	Watch
	2.03	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.03)	1.58 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalibor Svrcina
39.3%

Jacob Fearnley
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalibor Svrcina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dalibor Svrcina's form might have worsened.

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jacob Fearnley's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Dalibor Svrcina - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jacob Fearnley will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Svrcina is ranked ATP: 88. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 81.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Svrcina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Dalibor Svrcina - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.14%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Jacob Fearnley - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 54.86%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Yibing Wu - Dalibor Svrcina	Wu Y. retired ✺
30.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LL?WW
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Stockholm
16.10.25	Jacob Fearnley - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Jacob Fearnley - Dominic Stephan Stricker	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Jacob Fearnley - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Tomasz Berkieta - Jacob Fearnley	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLW?

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