Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rome 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	14:35	SportKlub 11


	Mariano Navone		Hamad Medjedovic

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.19	1.69
	2.18	1.82
	2.09	1.74	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.19	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.35)	1.74 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 0.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
44.8%

Hamad Medjedovic
55.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Hamad Medjedovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamad Medjedovic than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Mariano Navone - Hamad Medjedovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Medjedovic will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 80.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mariano Navone will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Navone is ranked ATP: 44. Medjedovic is ranked ATP: 67.

Recent performances by Navone have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Medjedovic is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Navone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Medjedovic might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Medjedovic will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Navone won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Hamad Medjedovic - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 59.37%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Denis Shapovalov - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Mariano Navone - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Mariano Navone - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
23.04.26	Nuno Borges - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLLW
- Hamad Medjedovic
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Joao Fonseca	2:1 ✺
07.05.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Hamad Medjedovic	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Alex De Minaur - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Mariano Navone - Hamad Medjedovic	1:3

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