Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	05:00	ESPN
Belgium	09:00	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	09:00	HBO Max
Brazil	05:00	ESPN
Bulgaria	10:00	HBO Max
Canada	03:00	RDS App
Colombia	03:00	ESPN
Croatia	09:00	HBO Max
Czech Republic	09:00	HBO Max
Denmark	09:00	HBO Max
Finland	10:00	HBO Max
France	09:00	HBO Max
Hungary	09:00	HBO Max
Mexico	02:00	ESPN
Moldova	10:00	HBO Max
Montenegro	09:00	HBO Max
Netherlands	09:00	HBO Max
New Zealand	21:00	Sky Sport NOW
North Macedonia	09:00	HBO Max
Norway	09:00	HBO Max
Peru	03:00	ESPN
Poland	09:00	HBO Max
Romania	10:00	HBO Max
Serbia	09:00	HBO Max
Slovenia	09:00	HBO Max
Spain	09:00	HBO Max
Sweden	09:00	HBO Max
United Kingdom	08:00	Discovery+
Usa	03:00	ESPN App, ESPN USA
Venezuela	04:00	ESPN


	Hamad Medjedovic		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	6	1.13	Watch
	5.8	1.14	Watch
	5.98	1.13	Watch
	5	1.17	Watch
	6.05	1.14	Watch
	5.75	1.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.76 ↑ (4.44)	1.14 ↓ (1.2)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamad Medjedovic
16.5%

Alex De Minaur
83.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.3%

78.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamad Medjedovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Hamad Medjedovic - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -6 Games - De Minaur (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 35 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alex De Minaur will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Medjedovic is ranked ATP: 90. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 6.

Medjedovic is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

De Minaur's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Medjedovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, De Minaur is the undeniable favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Alex De Minaur - the odds 1.2 are the expected chance of winning is 78.69%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamad Medjedovic
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Mariano Navone - Hamad Medjedovic	1:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
14.01.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Mattia Bellucci - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWW
- Alex De Minaur
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
18.01.26	Matteo Berrettini - Alex De Minaur	Canceled ✺
ATP United Cup
09.01.26	Alex De Minaur - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Alex De Minaur - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Alex De Minaur - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 W?WWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP Vienna
31.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Alex De Minaur	✺

Hamad Medjedovic - Alex De Minaur