Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
New-zealand	Sky Sport NOW
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Hamad Medjedovic		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	6	1.13	Watch
	5.8	1.14	Watch
	5.98	1.13	Watch
	5	1.17	Watch
	6.05	1.14	Watch
	5.75	1.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.76 ↑ (4.44)	1.14 ↓ (1.2)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamad Medjedovic
16.5%

Alex De Minaur
83.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

78.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamad Medjedovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Hamad Medjedovic - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -6 Games - De Minaur (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 35 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alex De Minaur will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Medjedovic is ranked ATP: 90. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 6.

Medjedovic is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

De Minaur's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Medjedovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, De Minaur is the undeniable favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Alex De Minaur - the odds 1.2 are the expected chance of winning is 78.69%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamad Medjedovic
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Mariano Navone - Hamad Medjedovic	1:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
14.01.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Mattia Bellucci - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWW
- Alex De Minaur
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
18.01.26	Matteo Berrettini - Alex De Minaur	Canceled ✺
ATP United Cup
09.01.26	Alex De Minaur - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Alex De Minaur - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Alex De Minaur - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 W?WWL

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