Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 July 2026, Monday


	Damir Dzumhur		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
	2.10	1.73	Watch
	2.10	1.70	Watch
	2.08	1.75	Watch
	2.25	1.75
	2.18	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.66
	2.11	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.9)	1.71 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damir Dzumhur
44.3%

Henrique Rocha
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Damir Dzumhur's form might have worsened.

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Henrique Rocha's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Damir Dzumhur - Henrique Rocha Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Dzumhur will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Rocha will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dzumhur: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 105. Rocha is ranked ATP: 122.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Dzumhur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Challenger
08.07.26	Zsombor Piros - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Stefan Horia Haita - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Damir Dzumhur - Arthur Fery	1:3 ✺
ATP Mallorca
23.06.26	Damir Dzumhur - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
21.06.26	Zachary Svajda - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLLW
- Henrique Rocha
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
12.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Darwin Blanch	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Charles Broom	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWW

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