Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris (France), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 November 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Colombia	ESPN 3
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.14	1.72	Watch
	2.34	1.66
	2.24	1.71	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.68	Watch
	2.14	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.99)	1.7 ↓ (1.79)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
43.6%

Alex De Minaur
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29%	3.2%	67.7%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Rune will win (votes: 9 - 30%). De Minaur will win (votes: 21 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 53.6% – 86.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rune is ranked ATP: 13. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 10.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's De Minaur to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Rune won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Paris
31.10.24	Arthur Cazaux - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
30.10.24	Alexander Bublik - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
29.10.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
ATP Basel
26.10.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
25.10.24	David Goffin - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWLW
- Alex De Minaur
ATP Paris
31.10.24	Alex De Minaur - Jack Draper	2:1 ✺
30.10.24	Alex De Minaur - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
29.10.24	Alex De Minaur - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
26.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
25.10.24	Jakub Mensik - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP London
24.06.23	Alex De Minaur - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0
ATP Acapulco
04.03.23	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Alex De Minaur	1:2
ATP Basel
26.10.22	Alex De Minaur - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2
ATP Stockholm
22.10.22	Alex De Minaur - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2

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