Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Laver Cup, hard

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Finland	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 2
Italy	Eurosport 2
Netherlands	Eurosport 2
Norway	Eurosport 2
Poland	Eurosport 2
Romania	Eurosport 2
Spain	Eurosport 2
Sweden	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Turkey	Eurosport 2
Ukraine	Eurosport 2


	Jakub Mensik		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
			Watch
	2.71	1.48
	2.59	1.50	Watch
	2.49	1.54	Watch
	2.86	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.86)	1.49 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
35.8%

Alex De Minaur
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jakub Mensik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex De Minaur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Jakub Mensik - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mensik will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). De Minaur will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jakub Mensik will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mensik is ranked ATP: 17. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 8.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

De Minaur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, De Minaur is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mensik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Laver Cup
19.09.25	Jakub Mensik - Alex Michelsen	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Francis Tiafoe - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Jakub Mensik - Ugo Blanchet	2:3 ✺
24.08.25	Jakub Mensik - Nicolas Jarry	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLW
- Alex De Minaur
ATP Laver Cup
20.09.25	Alexander Zverev - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.25	Alex De Minaur - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Alex De Minaur - Raphael Collignon	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
03.09.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alex De Minaur	3:1 ✺
01.09.25	Leandro Riedi - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rotterdam
06.02.25	Jakub Mensik - Alex De Minaur	0:2
ATP Vienna
25.10.24	Jakub Mensik - Alex De Minaur	1:2

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