Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday


	Reilly Opelka		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.45	Watch
	1.5	2.43	Watch
	1.56	2.47
	1.55	2.4	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.54	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.49)	2.45 ↓ (2.52)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reilly Opelka
61.7%

Hugo Gaston
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Reilly Opelka - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Opelka will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Gaston will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Opelka: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Opelka is ranked ATP: 114. Gaston is ranked ATP: 93.

Recent matches Opelka is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gaston is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Opelka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Opelka will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reilly Opelka
ATP Challenger
12.03.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Reilly Opelka	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Roman Safiullin - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
13.02.25	Reilly Opelka - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
11.02.25	Christopher Eubanks - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
07.02.25	Tommy Paul - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWL
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
12.03.25	Adam Walton - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Luciano Darderi - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Hugo Gaston - Eliot Spizzirri	2:0 ✺
03.03.25	Hugo Gaston - James Kent Trotter	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWWW

Reilly Opelka - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide