Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: PARIS (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 2 November 2022, Wednesday


	Hubert Hurkacz		Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune

	1	2
	1.61	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.6	2.33
	1.57	2.31
	1.64	2.41
	1.62	2.3
	1.57	2.4	Watch
	1.6	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.77)	2.35 ↑ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubert Hurkacz
59.4%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hubert Hurkacz's performance.

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hubert Hurkacz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.1%	0%	26.9%

Hubert Hurkacz - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune Predictions

Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 49 - 73.1%). Rune will win (votes: 18 - 26.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 62.5% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Hurkacz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rune is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rune could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hurkacz will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Paris
01.11.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
28.10.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Borna Coric	1:2 ✺
27.10.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:1 ✺
25.10.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
ATP Antwerp
21.10.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWL
- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Paris
01.11.22	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
ATP Basel
30.10.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
29.10.22	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
28.10.22	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
27.10.22	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWW

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