Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dallas, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday


	Denis Shapovalov		Aleksandar Kovacevic

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.32	3.15	Watch
	1.33	3.54
	1.32	3.4	Watch
	1.33	3.3
	1.33	3.39	Watch
	1.32	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.4)	3.34 ↑ (3)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
71.6%

Aleksandar Kovacevic
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Denis Shapovalov - Aleksandar Kovacevic Predictions

Users Predictions: Denis Shapovalov will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Denis Shapovalov will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 40. Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 78.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Shapovalov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shapovalov is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shapovalov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Dallas
10.02.26	Denis Shapovalov - Rafael Jodar	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
22.01.26	Denis Shapovalov - Marin Cilic	0:3 ✺
19.01.26	Denis Shapovalov - Bu Yunchaokete	3:0 ✺
ATP Brisbane
05.01.26	Denis Shapovalov - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
Exhibition Men World Tennis League
18.12.25	Daniil Medvedev - Denis Shapovalov	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLT
- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Dallas
10.02.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Reilly Opelka	Canceled ✺
ATP Montpellier
05.02.26	Titouan Droguet - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
04.02.26	Moise Kouame - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
04.02.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Aleksandar Kovacevic	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 ?LW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Los Cabos
19.07.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Denis Shapovalov	0:2

Denis Shapovalov - Aleksandar Kovacevic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide