Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV6
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	S Sport+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Francis Tiafoe		Aleksandar Kovacevic

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.39	2.95	Watch
	1.4	3.2
	1.32	3.40	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.4	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.33)	3.1 ↓ (3.33)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
69.2%

Aleksandar Kovacevic
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.4%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Aleksandar Kovacevic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Francis Tiafoe - Aleksandar Kovacevic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Francis Tiafoe will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 28. Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 75.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tiafoe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tiafoe is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tiafoe won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Acapulco
24.02.26	Francis Tiafoe - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
20.02.26	Learner Tien - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Zachary Svajda - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	Rinky Hijikata - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
11.02.26	Sebastian Korda - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWL
- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Acapulco
23.02.26	Adam Walton - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
17.02.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
12.02.26	Denis Shapovalov - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Reilly Opelka	Canceled ✺
ATP Montpellier
05.02.26	Titouan Droguet - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLL?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Washington
23.07.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francis Tiafoe	1:2
ATP US Open
26.08.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francis Tiafoe	1:3
ATP Washington
01.08.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francis Tiafoe	1:2

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