Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday


	Adam Walton		Aleksandar Kovacevic

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.65
	2.19	1.66	Watch
	4.06	1.22	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.19	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2)	1.59 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adam Walton
38.8%

Aleksandar Kovacevic
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adam Walton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adam Walton's form might have worsened.

Aleksandar Kovacevic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aleksandar Kovacevic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adam Walton than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adam Walton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aleksandar Kovacevic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Adam Walton - Aleksandar Kovacevic Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Walton will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Kovacevic will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kovacevic: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Walton (votes: 2 - 40%). Kovacevic (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Walton is ranked ATP: 93. Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 75.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kovacevic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Walton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adam Walton
ATP Delray Beach
19.02.26	Adam Walton - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Adam Walton - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Adam Walton - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Adam Walton - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
ATP Dallas
11.02.26	Adam Walton - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWL
- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Delray Beach
17.02.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
12.02.26	Denis Shapovalov - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Reilly Opelka	Canceled ✺
ATP Montpellier
05.02.26	Titouan Droguet - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
04.02.26	Moise Kouame - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LL?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Acapulco
23.02.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Adam Walton	1:2

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