Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 11
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, MTV Urheilu 3
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Digi Sport 1, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Jannik Sinner		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	1.06	10	Watch
			Watch
	1.07	8	Watch
	1.08	10.48
	1.08	8.99	Watch
	1.06	8	Watch
	1.06	9.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 ↓ (1.11)	9.23 ↑ (6.56)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jannik Sinner
89.6%

Daniil Medvedev
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85.5%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	0%	47.4%

Jannik Sinner - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Sinner will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Medvedev will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sinner: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sinner (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Medvedev (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sinner is ranked ATP: 1. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 9.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 5.

Sinner is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Medvedev has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sinner may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sinner is the clear favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jannik Sinner
ATP Roma
14.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
12.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
03.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Zverev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWW
- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Roma
14.05.26	Martin Landaluce - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
12.05.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Tomas Machac - Daniil Medvedev	Medvedev D. Walkover ✺
ATP Madrid
28.04.26	Daniil Medvedev - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
15.03.26	Daniil Medvedev - Jannik Sinner	0:2
ATP World Tour Finals
14.11.24	Jannik Sinner - Daniil Medvedev	2:0
Exhibition Six Kings Slam Men
16.10.24	Daniil Medvedev - Jannik Sinner	0:2
ATP Shanghai
10.10.24	Jannik Sinner - Daniil Medvedev	2:0
ATP US Open
04.09.24	Jannik Sinner - Daniil Medvedev	3:1
ATP Wimbledon
09.07.24	Jannik Sinner - Daniil Medvedev	2:3
ATP Miami
29.03.24	Daniil Medvedev - Jannik Sinner	0:2

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