Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Curitiba, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday


	Hugo Dellien		Mateus Alves

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.64	2.13	Watch
	1.7	2.17
	1.54	2.33	Watch
	1.67	2.13	Watch
	1.38	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.4)	2.28 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Dellien
58.7%

Mateus Alves
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Dellien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hugo Dellien's form might have worsened.

Mateus Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mateus Alves's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Dellien than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hugo Dellien, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mateus Alves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Hugo Dellien - Mateus Alves Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dellien will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Alves will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alves: 68.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mateus Alves will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dellien is ranked ATP: 129. Alves is ranked ATP: 428.

Recent form of Dellien has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alves is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Alves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dellien is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Alves will win today's game, with odds of 2.76.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dellien won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Dellien
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Hugo Dellien - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Alex Barrena - Hugo Dellien	Dellien H. retired ✺
23.09.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Lautaro Midon - Hugo Dellien	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Hugo Dellien - Kamil Majchrzak	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 L?WLL
- Mateus Alves
ATP Challenger
13.10.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Enzo Camargo Lima - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Mateus Alves	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Mateus Alves - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.09.24	Mateus Alves - Hugo Dellien	0:2

Hugo Dellien - Mateus Alves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide