Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Metz, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday


	Hugo Gaston		Daniel Altmaier

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.79	2	Watch
	1.75	2.17
	1.87	1.87	Watch
			Watch
	1.77	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.87)	2.02 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
52.9%

Daniel Altmaier
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Daniel Altmaier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.1%	0%	12.9%

Hugo Gaston - Daniel Altmaier Predictions

Users Predictions: Hugo Gaston will win (27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 98.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hugo Gaston will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaston is ranked ATP: 98. Altmaier is ranked ATP: 46.

Gaston has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Altmaier has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gaston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gaston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Gaston - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Daniel Altmaier - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Metz
02.11.25	Terence Atmane - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.10.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Hugo Gaston - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Arthur Fery - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWW
- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Metz
04.11.25	Daniel Altmaier - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
30.10.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	Daniel Altmaier - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Daniel Altmaier - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
22.10.25	Jannik Sinner - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.24	Hugo Gaston - Daniel Altmaier	2:1
ATP Metz
05.11.23	Daniel Altmaier - Hugo Gaston	Canceled

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