Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 May 2024, Monday

Referee: Lahyani M. (Swe)


	Hugo Gaston		Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	2
	1.75	2
	1.79	2.07
	1.73	2
	1.78	2.04	Watch
	1.7	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.58)	2.02 ↓ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
53.6%

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hugo Gaston's form might have worsened.

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Hugo Gaston - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Meligeni will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

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Preview

Gaston is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Meligeni Rodrigues Alves is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gaston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gaston won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
03.05.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
01.05.24	Hugo Gaston - Terence Atmane	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	Hugo Gaston - Hamad Medjedovic	1:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
15.04.24	Hugo Gaston - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLL
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
ATP Challenger
03.05.24	Valentin Vacherot - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:1 ✺
01.05.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
30.04.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:0 ✺
29.04.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.23	Hugo Gaston - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0
ATP Challenger
17.07.21	Hugo Gaston - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0
ITF Tournaments
12.04.19	Hugo Gaston - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0

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