Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports MAX 6


	Otto Virtanen		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
			Watch
	1.35	2.9	Watch
	1.42	2.96
	1.41	2.70	Watch
	1.41	2.79	Watch
	1.42	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 (1.4)	2.83 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otto Virtanen
67%

Calvin Hemery
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	0%	47.4%

Otto Virtanen - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Virtanen will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Hemery will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Virtanen: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtanen (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Hemery (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Hemery (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtanen (votes: 5 - 50%). Hemery (votes: 5 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Virtanen is ranked ATP: 140. Hemery is ranked ATP: 210.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Virtanen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Virtanen will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Otto Virtanen - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 65.26%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Calvin Hemery - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.74%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
09.10.25	Alexander Blockx - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
06.10.25	Tom Paris - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.25	Ivan Ivanov - Otto Virtanen	Canceled ✺
13.09.25	Alexander Vasilev - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Otto Virtanen	Virtanen O. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WW?L?
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
09.10.25	Calvin Hemery - Jordan Thompson	Thompson J. retired ✺
07.10.25	Daniil Glinka - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Calvin Hemery - Patrick Kypson	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Remy Bertola - Calvin Hemery	Hemery C. retired ✺
09.09.25	Maxime Janvier - Calvin Hemery	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 ?WL??

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