Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 October 2025, Monday


	Hugo Grenier		Nishesh Basavareddy

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.5	Watch
	2.8	1.45
	2.47	1.49	Watch
			Watch
	2.64	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.19)	1.48 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Grenier
36.6%

Nishesh Basavareddy
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Grenier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hugo Grenier's form might have worsened.

Nishesh Basavareddy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nishesh Basavareddy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hugo Grenier, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nishesh Basavareddy than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nishesh Basavareddy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Hugo Grenier - Nishesh Basavareddy Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Grenier will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Basavareddy will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hugo Grenier will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Grenier is ranked ATP: 195. Basavareddy is ranked ATP: 113.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Grenier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Basavareddy will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Grenier won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Grenier - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.57%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Nishesh Basavareddy - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.43%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Grenier
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Alexander Blockx - Hugo Grenier	Canceled ✺
05.10.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Hugo Grenier - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Moez Echargui - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 ?LWWW
- Nishesh Basavareddy
ATP Shanghai
29.09.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
22.09.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Marin Cilic	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.07.24	Nishesh Basavareddy - Hugo Grenier	0:2

Hugo Grenier - Nishesh Basavareddy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide