Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villena, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Hugo Grenier		Tom Gentzsch

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
			Watch
	1.49	2.45
	1.58	2.47
	1.53	2.37	Watch
	1.55	2.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.55)	2.46 ↑ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Grenier
61.8%

Tom Gentzsch
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Grenier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Tom Gentzsch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Gentzsch than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Hugo Grenier - Tom Gentzsch Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Grenier (votes: 2 - 50%). Gentzsch (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Gentzsch (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Gentzsch (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hugo Grenier will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Grenier (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Gentzsch (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Grenier is ranked ATP: 191. Gentzsch is ranked ATP: 286.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Grenier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Grenier might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Grenier - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 59.76%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Grenier
ATP Challenger
01.10.25	Moez Echargui - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Hynek Barton - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Lukas Klein - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Mark Lajal - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
18.09.25	Hugo Grenier - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLW
- Tom Gentzsch
ATP Challenger
01.10.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Tom Gentzsch - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Alexander Ritschard - Tom Gentzsch	Gentzsch T. retired ✺
06.09.25	Luciano Darderi - Tom Gentzsch	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Tom Gentzsch - Kilian Feldbausch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WW?LW

Hugo Grenier - Tom Gentzsch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide