Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday


	Hynek Barton		Hugo Grenier

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.31	1.63
	2.23	1.60	Watch
	2.19	1.64	Watch
	2	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.85)	1.65 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hynek Barton
43.1%

Hugo Grenier
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hynek Barton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hynek Barton's form might have worsened.

Hugo Grenier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hugo Grenier's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hynek Barton than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hynek Barton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hugo Grenier, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hynek Barton - Hugo Grenier Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barton is ranked ATP: 300. Grenier is ranked ATP: 191.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Grenier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Grenier - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hynek Barton
ATP Challenger
19.09.25	Hynek Barton - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hynek Barton	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Marvin Moeller - Hynek Barton	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Hynek Barton	Canceled ✺
15.09.25	Hynek Barton - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWW?W
- Hugo Grenier
ATP Challenger
23.09.25	Lukas Klein - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Mark Lajal - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
18.09.25	Hugo Grenier - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Trey Hilderbrand - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Hugo Grenier - Stefanos Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWWL

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