Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Aix en Provence, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday


	Ignacio Buse		Francisco Comesana

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.58	2.23
	1.63	2.51
	1.57	2.27	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.58	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.77)	2.3 ↑ (1.94)

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
59.3%

Francisco Comesana
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ignacio Buse's performance.

Francisco Comesana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francisco Comesana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Comesana than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Ignacio Buse - Francisco Comesana Predictions

Users Predictions: Ignacio Buse will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Buse is ranked ATP: 58. Comesana is ranked ATP: 105.

Buse is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Comesana has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Buse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Buse won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Ignacio Buse - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 52.32%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Arthur Fils - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Ignacio Buse - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
13.04.26	Ignacio Buse - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
04.04.26	Ignacio Buse - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
02.04.26	Ignacio Buse - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- Francisco Comesana
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Tomas Machac - Francisco Comesana	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Francisco Comesana - Frederico Ferreira Silva	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.26	Flavio Cobolli - Francisco Comesana	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Ethan Quinn - Francisco Comesana	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Romain Arneodo - Francisco Comesana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Santiago
24.02.24	Francisco Comesana - Ignacio Buse	2:1

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