Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday


	Tomas Machac		Francisco Comesana

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.46	2.75	Watch
	1.47	2.9
	1.46	2.72	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.49	2.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.41)	2.77 ↓ (2.97)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Machac
65.5%

Francisco Comesana
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Francisco Comesana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Comesana than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	0%	5.6%

Tomas Machac - Francisco Comesana Predictions

Users Predictions: Tomas Machac will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Machac is ranked ATP: 41. Comesana is ranked ATP: 105.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Comesana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Machac is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Machac won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP Barcelona
17.04.26	Tomas Machac - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Tomas Machac	Machac T. Walkover ✺
14.04.26	Tomas Machac - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.26	Tomas Machac - Jannik Sinner	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 L?WLW
- Francisco Comesana
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Francisco Comesana - Frederico Ferreira Silva	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.26	Flavio Cobolli - Francisco Comesana	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Ethan Quinn - Francisco Comesana	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Romain Arneodo - Francisco Comesana	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.06.23	Francisco Comesana - Tomas Machac	0:2

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