Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Arthur Fils		Ignacio Buse

	1	2
	1.14	5.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.15	5.6
	1.18	6.06
	1.14	5.66	Watch
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.16	6.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↑ (1.13)	5.65 ↓ (5.86)

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
83%

Ignacio Buse
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.8%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Arthur Fils - Ignacio Buse Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Fils will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Buse will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fils: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Buse (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fils is ranked ATP: 25. Buse is ranked ATP: 58.

Fils has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Buse's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fils may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fils is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Barcelona
19.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Rafael Jodar - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Arthur Fils - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Arthur Fils - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Arthur Fils - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW
- Ignacio Buse
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Ignacio Buse - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
13.04.26	Ignacio Buse - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
04.04.26	Ignacio Buse - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
02.04.26	Ignacio Buse - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Ignacio Buse - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLW

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