Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Ilia Simakin		Liam Draxl

	1	2
	3.5	1.29
	3.25	1.3
	3.5	1.33
	3.2	1.33	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.21	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (3.25)	1.32 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilia Simakin
28.4%

Liam Draxl
71.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29%

71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Liam Draxl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Ilia Simakin - Liam Draxl Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Draxl (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Draxl (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Draxl (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Simakin is ranked ATP: 245. Draxl is ranked ATP: 171.

Simakin is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Draxl's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Draxl is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Ilia Simakin - Laurent Lokoli	1:2 ✺
23.04.26	Ilia Simakin - Soon Woo Kwon	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Alex Bolt - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
14.04.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Ilia Simakin	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Pavel Kotov - Ilia Simakin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLL
- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Liam Draxl - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Liam Draxl - Kilian Feldbausch	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Liam Draxl - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Liam Draxl - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
13.04.26	Liam Draxl - Kaylan Bigun	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
31.10.26	Liam Draxl - Sebastian Dominko	✺

Ilia Simakin - Liam Draxl

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Ilia Simakin - Liam Draxl Predictions

Preview

Form

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