Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Busan - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday


	Ilia Simakin		Duck Hee Lee

	1	2
			Watch
	1.17	4.25	Watch
	1.18	4.4	Watch
	1.18	4.54	Watch
	1.2	4.33	Watch
	1.19	4.41	Watch
	1.18	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.56)	4.39 ↑ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilia Simakin
78.8%

Duck Hee Lee
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilia Simakin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilia Simakin's performance.

Duck Hee Lee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Duck Hee Lee might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-18.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilia Simakin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duck Hee Lee than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Duck Hee Lee could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Ilia Simakin - Duck Hee Lee Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Simakin will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Lee will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Simakin is ranked ATP: 296. Lee is ranked ATP: 861.

Simakin is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lee is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Simakin will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
12.04.25	Ilia Simakin - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.03.25	Ilia Simakin - Stefanos Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
21.03.25	Ilia Simakin - Matt Kuhar	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Ilia Simakin - Billy Suarez	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Ilia Simakin - Vardan Manukyan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWW
- Duck Hee Lee
ATP Challenger
13.04.25	Duck Hee Lee - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.03.25	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong - Duck Hee Lee	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Renta Tokuda - Duck Hee Lee	0:2 ✺
17.03.25	Duck Hee Lee - Chase Ferguson	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Duck Hee Lee	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWLL

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