Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday


	Dane Sweeny		Rinky Hijikata

	1	2
			Watch
	3.05	1.32
	3.39	1.34
	3.09	1.35	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.44	1.31	Watch
	2.94	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.94)	1.34 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dane Sweeny
29.5%

Rinky Hijikata
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dane Sweeny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Rinky Hijikata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rinky Hijikata than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Dane Sweeny - Rinky Hijikata Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sweeny will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Hijikata will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hijikata: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sweeny is ranked ATP: 131. Hijikata is ranked ATP: 117.

Recent form of Sweeny has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hijikata is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hijikata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hijikata is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Hijikata will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sweeny won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dane Sweeny
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Arthur Fery - Dane Sweeny	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Dane Sweeny	2:1 ✺
02.03.26	Andrew Johnson - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.02.26	Dane Sweeny - Beibit Zhukayev	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Hiroki Moriya - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- Rinky Hijikata
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.26	Rinky Hijikata - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Alexander Bublik - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Rinky Hijikata - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Ignacio Buse - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.11.25	Dane Sweeny - Rinky Hijikata	1:2
23.10.24	Rinky Hijikata - Dane Sweeny	2:0
14.11.22	Dane Sweeny - Rinky Hijikata	1:2

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